MetService's latest forecast models peg Wellington's highest temperature on March 30 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers turning widespread in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to 69% market-implied odds on that outcome. Northerly winds early, shifting southerly later, cap warming potential amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating, while 37% odds on 21°C reflect uncertainty in shower timing and possible brief northerly bursts. This aligns with late March climatology, where daily highs average 20°C; recent observational data shows 22°C on March 28 but cooler 18°C yesterday. Watch hourly Kelburn AWS readings for resolution, with updates possible as models refine shower coverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 30?
20°C 73%
21°C 25%
22°C or higher 2.8%
12°C or below <1%
$28,444 Vol.
$28,444 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
73%
21°C
25%
22°C or higher
3%
20°C 73%
21°C 25%
22°C or higher 2.8%
12°C or below <1%
$28,444 Vol.
$28,444 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
73%
21°C
25%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast models peg Wellington's highest temperature on March 30 at 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers turning widespread in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to 69% market-implied odds on that outcome. Northerly winds early, shifting southerly later, cap warming potential amid cloud cover suppressing solar heating, while 37% odds on 21°C reflect uncertainty in shower timing and possible brief northerly bursts. This aligns with late March climatology, where daily highs average 20°C; recent observational data shows 22°C on March 28 but cooler 18°C yesterday. Watch hourly Kelburn AWS readings for resolution, with updates possible as models refine shower coverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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