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Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

48°F or higher 51%

40-41°F 13%

42-43°F 12%

46-47°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

48°F or higher 51%

40-41°F 13%

42-43°F 12%

46-47°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

29°F or below

$186 Vol.

1%

30-31°F

$276 Vol.

1%

32-33°F

$177 Vol.

1%

34-35°F

$287 Vol.

1%

36-37°F

$650 Vol.

5%

38-39°F

$551 Vol.

7%

40-41°F

$444 Vol.

13%

42-43°F

$511 Vol.

12%

44-45°F

$19 Vol.

11%

46-47°F

$15 Vol.

12%

48°F or higher

$244 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to a high of 48°F or higher in Chicago on April 2, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a recent shift in the upper-level pattern, with a weakening trough over the Midwest allowing mild air advection after cooler late-March conditions, though lingering cloud cover from a passing weak front caps temperatures below the 54°F seasonal normal. Model uncertainty persists around boundary layer mixing and precipitation chances, distributing probabilities across mid-40s bins; watch for NWS Chicago's afternoon forecast update and tomorrow's 00Z model refresh for potential adjustments as resolution approaches.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to a high of 48°F or higher in Chicago on April 2, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a recent shift in the upper-level pattern, with a weakening trough over the Midwest allowing mild air advection after cooler late-March conditions, though lingering cloud cover from a passing weak front caps temperatures below the 54°F seasonal normal. Model uncertainty persists around boundary layer mixing and precipitation chances, distributing probabilities across mid-40s bins; watch for NWS Chicago's afternoon forecast update and tomorrow's 00Z model refresh for potential adjustments as resolution approaches.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to a high of 48°F or higher in Chicago on April 2, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a recent shift in the upper-level pattern, with a weakening trough over the Midwest allowing mild air advection after cooler late-March conditions, though lingering cloud cover from a passing weak front caps temperatures below the 54°F seasonal normal. Model uncertainty persists around boundary layer mixing and precipitation chances, distributing probabilities across mid-40s bins; watch for NWS Chicago's afternoon forecast update and tomorrow's 00Z model refresh for potential adjustments as resolution approaches.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 51% implied probability to a high of 48°F or higher in Chicago on April 2, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs near 48–50°F at O'Hare International Airport amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a recent shift in the upper-level pattern, with a weakening trough over the Midwest allowing mild air advection after cooler late-March conditions, though lingering cloud cover from a passing weak front caps temperatures below the 54°F seasonal normal. Model uncertainty persists around boundary layer mixing and precipitation chances, distributing probabilities across mid-40s bins; watch for NWS Chicago's afternoon forecast update and tomorrow's 00Z model refresh for potential adjustments as resolution approaches.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 48°F or higher » à 51%, suivi de « 40-41°F » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? » est « 48°F or higher » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 40-41°F » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.