Trader sentiment heavily favors 67°F or below at 72% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting daytime highs around 63-67°F. Recent weather whiplash has ushered in a cool post-frontal airmass across the Northeast, with persistent low-level clouds, light rain chances, and northerly flow suppressing daytime heating after earlier warm spells topped upper 80s. Climatologically, early April highs average near 58°F, but current model runs show limited solar insolation and weak ridging preventing warmer outcomes. New 12z/00z forecast updates from NOAA models expected within 24 hours could adjust probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 73%
68-69°F 15%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.6%
$16,806 Vol.
$16,806 Vol.
67°F or below
73%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 73%
68-69°F 15%
70-71°F 7%
72-73°F 4.6%
$16,806 Vol.
$16,806 Vol.
67°F or below
73%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment heavily favors 67°F or below at 72% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport on April 5, aligned with National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting daytime highs around 63-67°F. Recent weather whiplash has ushered in a cool post-frontal airmass across the Northeast, with persistent low-level clouds, light rain chances, and northerly flow suppressing daytime heating after earlier warm spells topped upper 80s. Climatologically, early April highs average near 58°F, but current model runs show limited solar insolation and weak ridging preventing warmer outcomes. New 12z/00z forecast updates from NOAA models expected within 24 hours could adjust probabilities amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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