The latest KNMI guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 13°C for Amsterdam on April 5 under westerly winds at force 4, with light showers alternating with sun and a 50% precipitation chance limiting prolonged insolation. This reflects ECMWF model consensus, where ensemble spreads typically vary 1-2°C at 48-hour lead times due to uncertainties in shower coverage and boundary layer mixing—fewer clouds could boost highs to 14°C, while denser overcast favors 12°C. Buienradar aligns at 13°C, consistent with early April climatology averaging 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on closely matched 13°C and 14°C odds embodies this genuine forecast ambiguity; monitor April 4 observations and overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 5?
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
12°C 11%
9°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
7°C or below
3%
8°C
5%
9°C
9%
10°C
8%
11°C
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C or higher
5%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
12°C 11%
9°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$135 Vol.
3%
8°C
$10 Vol.
5%
9°C
$10 Vol.
9%
10°C
$10 Vol.
8%
11°C
$10 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$10 Vol.
9%
16°C
$10 Vol.
9%
17°C or higher
$39 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest KNMI guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 13°C for Amsterdam on April 5 under westerly winds at force 4, with light showers alternating with sun and a 50% precipitation chance limiting prolonged insolation. This reflects ECMWF model consensus, where ensemble spreads typically vary 1-2°C at 48-hour lead times due to uncertainties in shower coverage and boundary layer mixing—fewer clouds could boost highs to 14°C, while denser overcast favors 12°C. Buienradar aligns at 13°C, consistent with early April climatology averaging 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on closely matched 13°C and 14°C odds embodies this genuine forecast ambiguity; monitor April 4 observations and overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
Volume
$234Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest KNMI guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 13°C for Amsterdam on April 5 under westerly winds at force 4, with light showers alternating with sun and a 50% precipitation chance limiting prolonged insolation. This reflects ECMWF model consensus, where ensemble spreads typically vary 1-2°C at 48-hour lead times due to uncertainties in shower coverage and boundary layer mixing—fewer clouds could boost highs to 14°C, while denser overcast favors 12°C. Buienradar aligns at 13°C, consistent with early April climatology averaging 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on closely matched 13°C and 14°C odds embodies this genuine forecast ambiguity; monitor April 4 observations and overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$234Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest KNMI guidance forecasts a maximum temperature of 13°C for Amsterdam on April 5 under westerly winds at force 4, with light showers alternating with sun and a 50% precipitation chance limiting prolonged insolation. This reflects ECMWF model consensus, where ensemble spreads typically vary 1-2°C at 48-hour lead times due to uncertainties in shower coverage and boundary layer mixing—fewer clouds could boost highs to 14°C, while denser overcast favors 12°C. Buienradar aligns at 13°C, consistent with early April climatology averaging 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on closely matched 13°C and 14°C odds embodies this genuine forecast ambiguity; monitor April 4 observations and overnight ECMWF/GFS updates for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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