Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 18-22°C, mirroring the market's closely matched implied probabilities across these outcomes and reflecting inherent springtime variability. Recent March observations show a warming trend post-cold fronts, with average early April highs near 20°C historically, but northerly winds, potential cloud cover, and shifting upper-air patterns could suppress peaks toward 16°C or boost them to 22°C under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Trader consensus acknowledges this uncertainty, with daily forecast updates expected by April 1 potentially narrowing the model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C 21%
16°C or below 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
20%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
8%
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C 21%
16°C or below 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$8 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C or higher
$68 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 18-22°C, mirroring the market's closely matched implied probabilities across these outcomes and reflecting inherent springtime variability. Recent March observations show a warming trend post-cold fronts, with average early April highs near 20°C historically, but northerly winds, potential cloud cover, and shifting upper-air patterns could suppress peaks toward 16°C or boost them to 22°C under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Trader consensus acknowledges this uncertainty, with daily forecast updates expected by April 1 potentially narrowing the model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$76Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 18-22°C, mirroring the market's closely matched implied probabilities across these outcomes and reflecting inherent springtime variability. Recent March observations show a warming trend post-cold fronts, with average early April highs near 20°C historically, but northerly winds, potential cloud cover, and shifting upper-air patterns could suppress peaks toward 16°C or boost them to 22°C under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Trader consensus acknowledges this uncertainty, with daily forecast updates expected by April 1 potentially narrowing the model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate Beijing's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 18-22°C, mirroring the market's closely matched implied probabilities across these outcomes and reflecting inherent springtime variability. Recent March observations show a warming trend post-cold fronts, with average early April highs near 20°C historically, but northerly winds, potential cloud cover, and shifting upper-air patterns could suppress peaks toward 16°C or boost them to 22°C under clearer skies and stronger solar insolation. Trader consensus acknowledges this uncertainty, with daily forecast updates expected by April 1 potentially narrowing the model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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