Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies and light southwest winds, sustaining a persistent high-pressure ridge that has stabilized recent spring daytime highs at 20-22°C. Trader sentiment remains tightly contested among 19-22°C outcomes—implied probabilities of 20-34%—due to inherent forecast uncertainty three days out, including small variances in peak solar insolation, boundary layer stability, and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but above-normal March-May temperature anomalies amid neutral ENSO conditions tilt toward mild warmth. Daily CMA updates and fresh model runs on March 31-April 1 may refine this consensus before official station measurements resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
21°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 20%
22°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
10%
18°C
15%
19°C
20%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
20%
23°C
13%
24°C
18%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
9%
21°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 20%
22°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
$34 Vol.
3%
17°C
$29 Vol.
10%
18°C
$19 Vol.
15%
19°C
$20 Vol.
20%
20°C
$68 Vol.
23%
21°C
$26 Vol.
24%
22°C
$20 Vol.
20%
23°C
$19 Vol.
13%
24°C
$19 Vol.
18%
25°C
$23 Vol.
15%
26°C or higher
$45 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies and light southwest winds, sustaining a persistent high-pressure ridge that has stabilized recent spring daytime highs at 20-22°C. Trader sentiment remains tightly contested among 19-22°C outcomes—implied probabilities of 20-34%—due to inherent forecast uncertainty three days out, including small variances in peak solar insolation, boundary layer stability, and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but above-normal March-May temperature anomalies amid neutral ENSO conditions tilt toward mild warmth. Daily CMA updates and fresh model runs on March 31-April 1 may refine this consensus before official station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$322Date de fin
Apr 2, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies and light southwest winds, sustaining a persistent high-pressure ridge that has stabilized recent spring daytime highs at 20-22°C. Trader sentiment remains tightly contested among 19-22°C outcomes—implied probabilities of 20-34%—due to inherent forecast uncertainty three days out, including small variances in peak solar insolation, boundary layer stability, and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but above-normal March-May temperature anomalies amid neutral ENSO conditions tilt toward mild warmth. Daily CMA updates and fresh model runs on March 31-April 1 may refine this consensus before official station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$322Date de fin
Apr 2, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance, aligned with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, projects Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies and light southwest winds, sustaining a persistent high-pressure ridge that has stabilized recent spring daytime highs at 20-22°C. Trader sentiment remains tightly contested among 19-22°C outcomes—implied probabilities of 20-34%—due to inherent forecast uncertainty three days out, including small variances in peak solar insolation, boundary layer stability, and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but above-normal March-May temperature anomalies amid neutral ENSO conditions tilt toward mild warmth. Daily CMA updates and fresh model runs on March 31-April 1 may refine this consensus before official station measurements resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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