Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Busan’s April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–22°C and slight edges to cooler outcomes like 13°C (27%) and 14°C (26%), driven by springtime volatility in East Asian weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest medium-range forecast projects a 19°C maximum under mostly clear skies and just 10% precipitation risk for the Busan region, aligning with a warmer-than-normal 2026 spring amid early cherry blossom peaks from February heat. However, ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight differentiating factors: potential southward jet stream dips ushering cooler Siberian air masses versus persistent high-pressure ridges enabling solar heating and coastal moderation. Historical early-April highs average 15–16°C; key updates from KMA daily bulletins through April 7 could sharpen resolution as frontal boundaries clarify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Busan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 8?
13°C 20%
12°C or below 18%
14°C 18%
15°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
12°C or below
18%
13°C
20%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
11%
13°C 20%
12°C or below 18%
14°C 18%
15°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C or higher
$10 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Busan’s April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–22°C and slight edges to cooler outcomes like 13°C (27%) and 14°C (26%), driven by springtime volatility in East Asian weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest medium-range forecast projects a 19°C maximum under mostly clear skies and just 10% precipitation risk for the Busan region, aligning with a warmer-than-normal 2026 spring amid early cherry blossom peaks from February heat. However, ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight differentiating factors: potential southward jet stream dips ushering cooler Siberian air masses versus persistent high-pressure ridges enabling solar heating and coastal moderation. Historical early-April highs average 15–16°C; key updates from KMA daily bulletins through April 7 could sharpen resolution as frontal boundaries clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Busan’s April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–22°C and slight edges to cooler outcomes like 13°C (27%) and 14°C (26%), driven by springtime volatility in East Asian weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest medium-range forecast projects a 19°C maximum under mostly clear skies and just 10% precipitation risk for the Busan region, aligning with a warmer-than-normal 2026 spring amid early cherry blossom peaks from February heat. However, ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight differentiating factors: potential southward jet stream dips ushering cooler Siberian air masses versus persistent high-pressure ridges enabling solar heating and coastal moderation. Historical early-April highs average 15–16°C; key updates from KMA daily bulletins through April 7 could sharpen resolution as frontal boundaries clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Busan’s April 8 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–22°C and slight edges to cooler outcomes like 13°C (27%) and 14°C (26%), driven by springtime volatility in East Asian weather patterns. The Korea Meteorological Administration’s (KMA) latest medium-range forecast projects a 19°C maximum under mostly clear skies and just 10% precipitation risk for the Busan region, aligning with a warmer-than-normal 2026 spring amid early cherry blossom peaks from February heat. However, ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF highlight differentiating factors: potential southward jet stream dips ushering cooler Siberian air masses versus persistent high-pressure ridges enabling solar heating and coastal moderation. Historical early-April highs average 15–16°C; key updates from KMA daily bulletins through April 7 could sharpen resolution as frontal boundaries clarify.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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