KNMI's latest guidance, updated early April 3, projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam under heavy cloud cover and light rain from southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome amid mild Atlantic air advection. Morning observations near Schiphol Airport, the official recording station, show around 5°C with 80-90% cloudiness capping solar warming, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 11°C. ECMWF and HARMONIE model ensembles exhibit tight spreads around 10-12°C, explaining elevated odds for 10°C (23.5%) and 12°C (29.5%), though precipitation risk (60% chance, 1 mm) introduces uncertainty. Real-time hourly data will refine the peak before evening cooldown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 3 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 3 avril ?
11°C 49%
12°C 38%
13°C 25.4%
14°C 5.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 avr. 2026
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
41%
12°C
30%
13°C
25%
14°C
5%
15°C ou plus
3%
11°C 49%
12°C 38%
13°C 25.4%
14°C 5.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 avr. 2026
5°C ou moins
$1,434 Vol.
1%
6°C
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$243 Vol.
1%
10°C
$7 Vol.
2%
11°C
$14 Vol.
41%
12°C
$18 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$21 Vol.
5%
15°C ou plus
$96 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI's latest guidance, updated early April 3, projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam under heavy cloud cover and light rain from southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome amid mild Atlantic air advection. Morning observations near Schiphol Airport, the official recording station, show around 5°C with 80-90% cloudiness capping solar warming, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 11°C. ECMWF and HARMONIE model ensembles exhibit tight spreads around 10-12°C, explaining elevated odds for 10°C (23.5%) and 12°C (29.5%), though precipitation risk (60% chance, 1 mm) introduces uncertainty. Real-time hourly data will refine the peak before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$5,294Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.KNMI's latest guidance, updated early April 3, projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam under heavy cloud cover and light rain from southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome amid mild Atlantic air advection. Morning observations near Schiphol Airport, the official recording station, show around 5°C with 80-90% cloudiness capping solar warming, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 11°C. ECMWF and HARMONIE model ensembles exhibit tight spreads around 10-12°C, explaining elevated odds for 10°C (23.5%) and 12°C (29.5%), though precipitation risk (60% chance, 1 mm) introduces uncertainty. Real-time hourly data will refine the peak before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,294Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...KNMI's latest guidance, updated early April 3, projects a maximum temperature of 11°C in Amsterdam under heavy cloud cover and light rain from southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for that outcome amid mild Atlantic air advection. Morning observations near Schiphol Airport, the official recording station, show around 5°C with 80-90% cloudiness capping solar warming, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 11°C. ECMWF and HARMONIE model ensembles exhibit tight spreads around 10-12°C, explaining elevated odds for 10°C (23.5%) and 12°C (29.5%), though precipitation risk (60% chance, 1 mm) introduces uncertainty. Real-time hourly data will refine the peak before evening cooldown.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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