Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 7 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul le 7 avril ?
11°C 24%
12°C 21%
13°C 20%
10°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
5%
8°C
6%
9°C
11%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C ou plus
7%
11°C 24%
12°C 21%
13°C 20%
10°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 avr. 2026
5°C ou moins
$370 Vol.
1%
6°C
$537 Vol.
1%
7°C
$9 Vol.
5%
8°C
$5 Vol.
6%
9°C
$1 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$34 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C ou plus
$6 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$963Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$963Date de fin
7 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seoul's highest temperature on April 7, with Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverging sharply—some projecting persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows keeping highs near or below 10°C, while others anticipate post-rain clearing under a developing high-pressure ridge pushing toward 15°C or higher. Recent rain and gusty winds from a low-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula since April 3 have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical early-April variability when frontal passages introduce cold air from Siberia amid spring transition. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation fade-out timing; watch KMA's next 24-hour update for refined guidance on cloud breaks and boundary layer recovery.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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