Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 7 around 53-55°F, driving trader consensus toward 53°F or below at 49% implied probability, with 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (21.5%) close behind. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF updates have cooled projections slightly after a weekend ridge builds highs to the mid-60s on April 5-6, as an offshore upper-level trough enhances onshore southerly flow and persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound, suppressing daytime heating via the common springtime stratus burn-off delay. April climatological highs average 57°F per NOAA normals; inherent model spread persists, with evening NWS forecast discussions key for pre-resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
53°F or below 49%
54-55°F 26%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 5.1%
53°F or below
49%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
53°F or below 49%
54-55°F 26%
56-57°F 18%
58-59°F 5.1%
53°F or below
49%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles project Seattle's highest temperature on April 7 around 53-55°F, driving trader consensus toward 53°F or below at 49% implied probability, with 54-55°F (25%) and 56-57°F (21.5%) close behind. Over the past 48 hours, GFS and ECMWF updates have cooled projections slightly after a weekend ridge builds highs to the mid-60s on April 5-6, as an offshore upper-level trough enhances onshore southerly flow and persistent marine stratus over Puget Sound, suppressing daytime heating via the common springtime stratus burn-off delay. April climatological highs average 57°F per NOAA normals; inherent model spread persists, with evening NWS forecast discussions key for pre-resolution shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes