Current forecast ensembles from monitoring services project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 4 around 24-26°C amid humid conditions and showers, capping solar heating and concentrating trader probabilities on 25-27°C outcomes at over 70% combined. This reflects model consensus for partly cloudy skies transitioning into the wetter season starting around April 4, with southerly winds delivering mild tropical air but urban heat island effects potentially adding 1-2°C. Persistent morning clouds versus afternoon clearing represent key differentiators: heavier precipitation favors sub-25°C, while sun breaks could push toward 28-29°C. Historical early-April highs average 25-26°C; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and GFS/ECMWF runs by midday for shifts ahead of resolution via official observatory data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 4?
25°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 22%
29°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
18%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
21%
25°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 22%
29°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
19°C or below
$230 Vol.
1%
20°C
$43 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$11 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from monitoring services project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 4 around 24-26°C amid humid conditions and showers, capping solar heating and concentrating trader probabilities on 25-27°C outcomes at over 70% combined. This reflects model consensus for partly cloudy skies transitioning into the wetter season starting around April 4, with southerly winds delivering mild tropical air but urban heat island effects potentially adding 1-2°C. Persistent morning clouds versus afternoon clearing represent key differentiators: heavier precipitation favors sub-25°C, while sun breaks could push toward 28-29°C. Historical early-April highs average 25-26°C; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and GFS/ECMWF runs by midday for shifts ahead of resolution via official observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$284Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from monitoring services project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 4 around 24-26°C amid humid conditions and showers, capping solar heating and concentrating trader probabilities on 25-27°C outcomes at over 70% combined. This reflects model consensus for partly cloudy skies transitioning into the wetter season starting around April 4, with southerly winds delivering mild tropical air but urban heat island effects potentially adding 1-2°C. Persistent morning clouds versus afternoon clearing represent key differentiators: heavier precipitation favors sub-25°C, while sun breaks could push toward 28-29°C. Historical early-April highs average 25-26°C; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and GFS/ECMWF runs by midday for shifts ahead of resolution via official observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$284Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast ensembles from monitoring services project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 4 around 24-26°C amid humid conditions and showers, capping solar heating and concentrating trader probabilities on 25-27°C outcomes at over 70% combined. This reflects model consensus for partly cloudy skies transitioning into the wetter season starting around April 4, with southerly winds delivering mild tropical air but urban heat island effects potentially adding 1-2°C. Persistent morning clouds versus afternoon clearing represent key differentiators: heavier precipitation favors sub-25°C, while sun breaks could push toward 28-29°C. Historical early-April highs average 25-26°C; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and GFS/ECMWF runs by midday for shifts ahead of resolution via official observatory data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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