Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 26°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, driven by observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing a midday peak of 26°C (approximately 79°F) amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 78%, and scattered light rain. These conditions, reported by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, limited solar insolation and convective heating, aligning with early-April climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. While unexpected afternoon clearing could theoretically enable a brief surge to 27°C via residual surface warming, low solar angles past 15:00 local time and moist atmospheric profiles render this improbable; final daily maximum data expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,730 Vol.
$118,730 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,730 Vol.
$118,730 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 26°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, driven by observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing a midday peak of 26°C (approximately 79°F) amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 78%, and scattered light rain. These conditions, reported by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, limited solar insolation and convective heating, aligning with early-April climatological averages of 25–26°C highs. While unexpected afternoon clearing could theoretically enable a brief surge to 27°C via residual surface warming, low solar angles past 15:00 local time and moist atmospheric profiles render this improbable; final daily maximum data expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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