National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the strong trader consensus (90.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, projecting peaks around 65-70°F amid a high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and above-normal warmth over the Front Range. This aligns with the early April climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport, where official observations resolve the market, bolstered by recent model runs over the past 48 hours trending warmer with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cooler Pacific air or a stalled frontal boundary introducing clouds and gusty winds, potentially capping highs below 56°F—scenarios with low probability per current model spread. Updated NWS outlooks and 12z model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 91%
54-55°F 2.7%
44-45°F 2.6%
48-49°F 2.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
3%
56°F or higher
91%
56°F or higher 91%
54-55°F 2.7%
44-45°F 2.6%
48-49°F 2.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
37°F or below
$240 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$243 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$250 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$277 Vol.
2%
44-45°F
$235 Vol.
3%
46-47°F
$236 Vol.
2%
48-49°F
$235 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$80 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$80 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$128 Vol.
3%
56°F or higher
$245 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the strong trader consensus (90.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, projecting peaks around 65-70°F amid a high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and above-normal warmth over the Front Range. This aligns with the early April climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport, where official observations resolve the market, bolstered by recent model runs over the past 48 hours trending warmer with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cooler Pacific air or a stalled frontal boundary introducing clouds and gusty winds, potentially capping highs below 56°F—scenarios with low probability per current model spread. Updated NWS outlooks and 12z model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$2,248Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the strong trader consensus (90.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, projecting peaks around 65-70°F amid a high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and above-normal warmth over the Front Range. This aligns with the early April climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport, where official observations resolve the market, bolstered by recent model runs over the past 48 hours trending warmer with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cooler Pacific air or a stalled frontal boundary introducing clouds and gusty winds, potentially capping highs below 56°F—scenarios with low probability per current model spread. Updated NWS outlooks and 12z model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,248Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the strong trader consensus (90.5% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 56°F or higher, projecting peaks around 65-70°F amid a high-pressure ridge ushering dry, sunny conditions and above-normal warmth over the Front Range. This aligns with the early April climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport, where official observations resolve the market, bolstered by recent model runs over the past 48 hours trending warmer with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risks. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated northward surge of cooler Pacific air or a stalled frontal boundary introducing clouds and gusty winds, potentially capping highs below 56°F—scenarios with low probability per current model spread. Updated NWS outlooks and 12z model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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