Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature near 60°F in Denver on April 4 amid a transition from March's record-shattering heat—highs topping 87°F—to cooler conditions driven by an approaching upper-level trough. This system introduces mid-level cool air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation risks, tempering highs from current 80s to the upper 50s-low 60s range, aligning with the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport. Recent 48-hour model runs show spread in trough depth and timing, boosting 62°F or higher to 41.5% while distributing probabilities across 56-61°F bins; watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening 00Z model refreshes that could refine land surface forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
62°F or higher 42%
60-61°F 25%
56-57°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
13%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
17%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
25%
62°F or higher
42%
62°F or higher 42%
60-61°F 25%
56-57°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
$5 Vol.
13%
44-45°F
$0 Vol.
9%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
16%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
17%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
18%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
18%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
19%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62°F or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature near 60°F in Denver on April 4 amid a transition from March's record-shattering heat—highs topping 87°F—to cooler conditions driven by an approaching upper-level trough. This system introduces mid-level cool air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation risks, tempering highs from current 80s to the upper 50s-low 60s range, aligning with the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport. Recent 48-hour model runs show spread in trough depth and timing, boosting 62°F or higher to 41.5% while distributing probabilities across 56-61°F bins; watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening 00Z model refreshes that could refine land surface forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$5Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature near 60°F in Denver on April 4 amid a transition from March's record-shattering heat—highs topping 87°F—to cooler conditions driven by an approaching upper-level trough. This system introduces mid-level cool air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation risks, tempering highs from current 80s to the upper 50s-low 60s range, aligning with the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport. Recent 48-hour model runs show spread in trough depth and timing, boosting 62°F or higher to 41.5% while distributing probabilities across 56-61°F bins; watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening 00Z model refreshes that could refine land surface forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5Date de fin
Apr 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, implying a highest temperature near 60°F in Denver on April 4 amid a transition from March's record-shattering heat—highs topping 87°F—to cooler conditions driven by an approaching upper-level trough. This system introduces mid-level cool air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation risks, tempering highs from current 80s to the upper 50s-low 60s range, aligning with the April 4 climatological normal of 60°F at Denver International Airport. Recent 48-hour model runs show spread in trough depth and timing, boosting 62°F or higher to 41.5% while distributing probabilities across 56-61°F bins; watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening 00Z model refreshes that could refine land surface forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes