Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast, updated April 1, projects Taipei's daytime high on April 4 at 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model consensus ranges of 21–24°C, reflecting a moist airflow pattern over northern Taiwan that diverges from April's climatological average of 24–25°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—thinner clouds or delayed showers could boost peaks to 25°C, while persistent rain favors 22°C or below. Watch CWA's daily updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Taipei's official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
22°C or below 16%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
22°C or below 16%
22°C or below
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast, updated April 1, projects Taipei's daytime high on April 4 at 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model consensus ranges of 21–24°C, reflecting a moist airflow pattern over northern Taiwan that diverges from April's climatological average of 24–25°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover extent and precipitation timing—thinner clouds or delayed showers could boost peaks to 25°C, while persistent rain favors 22°C or below. Watch CWA's daily updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs for shifts ahead of resolution at Taipei's official station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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