Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, driven by a wet Easter weekend pattern featuring scattered showers and persistent cloud cover from an incoming upper-level trough. Recent KXAN updates highlight a wetted-than-normal early April regime, capping highs below seasonal averages of around 78°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverging slightly on cloud persistence and frontal timing—favoring partial clearing for 70-73°F peaks versus heavier rain suppressing to 68-69°F. Key differentiators include diurnal heating potential under broken skies and overnight low recovery near 50°F; watch daily 12z model runs and NWS advisories for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
6%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, driven by a wet Easter weekend pattern featuring scattered showers and persistent cloud cover from an incoming upper-level trough. Recent KXAN updates highlight a wetted-than-normal early April regime, capping highs below seasonal averages of around 78°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverging slightly on cloud persistence and frontal timing—favoring partial clearing for 70-73°F peaks versus heavier rain suppressing to 68-69°F. Key differentiators include diurnal heating potential under broken skies and overnight low recovery near 50°F; watch daily 12z model runs and NWS advisories for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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