Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Environment Canada and GEM model forecasts around 5-7°C highs for Toronto on April 6, with the official 7-day outlook issued April 2 projecting a cloudy 7°C maximum amid lingering post-frontal cooling after warmer air on April 3. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from GFS and Canadian models, where variations in upper-level trough persistence and cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 2-3°C or allow slight warm-up if breaks develop; historical early April normals hover near 9°C, amplifying spring transitional uncertainty. Watch tomorrow's 5 a.m. forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official Toronto observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 24%
3°C 20%
5°C 18%
7°C 18%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
4%
2°C
6%
3°C
14%
4°C
15%
5°C
18%
6°C
20%
7°C
18%
8°C
15%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
9%
6°C 24%
3°C 20%
5°C 18%
7°C 18%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
4%
2°C
6%
3°C
14%
4°C
15%
5°C
18%
6°C
20%
7°C
18%
8°C
15%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of Environment Canada and GEM model forecasts around 5-7°C highs for Toronto on April 6, with the official 7-day outlook issued April 2 projecting a cloudy 7°C maximum amid lingering post-frontal cooling after warmer air on April 3. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from GFS and Canadian models, where variations in upper-level trough persistence and cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 2-3°C or allow slight warm-up if breaks develop; historical early April normals hover near 9°C, amplifying spring transitional uncertainty. Watch tomorrow's 5 a.m. forecast update for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official Toronto observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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