Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in medium-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, with Israel Meteorological Service projections showing unseasonably cool northerly airflow persisting into early April, capping maxima around 15–18°C on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project a broad 14–24°C range, driven by potential shifts in upper-level troughing versus ridge development over the eastern Mediterranean, which could either prolong cool advection or allow warming toward April climatological norms of 22–24°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind direction changes; new model updates from IMS and global ensembles expected daily through April 5 will likely refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 6?
24°C or higher 19%
22°C 12%
19°C 10%
20°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
9%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
19%
24°C or higher 19%
22°C 12%
19°C 10%
20°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$183 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$183 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$1 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in medium-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, with Israel Meteorological Service projections showing unseasonably cool northerly airflow persisting into early April, capping maxima around 15–18°C on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project a broad 14–24°C range, driven by potential shifts in upper-level troughing versus ridge development over the eastern Mediterranean, which could either prolong cool advection or allow warming toward April climatological norms of 22–24°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind direction changes; new model updates from IMS and global ensembles expected daily through April 5 will likely refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$367Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in medium-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, with Israel Meteorological Service projections showing unseasonably cool northerly airflow persisting into early April, capping maxima around 15–18°C on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project a broad 14–24°C range, driven by potential shifts in upper-level troughing versus ridge development over the eastern Mediterranean, which could either prolong cool advection or allow warming toward April climatological norms of 22–24°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind direction changes; new model updates from IMS and global ensembles expected daily through April 5 will likely refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$367Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in medium-range forecasts for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 6, with Israel Meteorological Service projections showing unseasonably cool northerly airflow persisting into early April, capping maxima around 15–18°C on April 4–5 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Divergent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project a broad 14–24°C range, driven by potential shifts in upper-level troughing versus ridge development over the eastern Mediterranean, which could either prolong cool advection or allow warming toward April climatological norms of 22–24°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution and wind direction changes; new model updates from IMS and global ensembles expected daily through April 5 will likely refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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