Latest AEMET forecasts point to a 27°C maximum temperature in Madrid on April 6 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating, driving trader sentiment toward 26°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 and above-normal values (April climatology ~18–19°C) persisting over the past week due to subsident air masses. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread of 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and minor cloud development that could cap peaks at 26°C or push to 27°C. Updated 00Z/12Z runs expected April 5 may refine this; resolution uses whole-degree readings from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
25°C 13%
28°C 7.0%
$12,871 Vol.
$12,871 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
2%
26°C 39%
27°C 39%
25°C 13%
28°C 7.0%
$12,871 Vol.
$12,871 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
19°C or below
$828 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,753 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,179 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,310 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,731 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,021 Vol.
39%
27°C
$969 Vol.
39%
28°C
$663 Vol.
7%
29°C or higher
$689 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts point to a 27°C maximum temperature in Madrid on April 6 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating, driving trader sentiment toward 26°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 and above-normal values (April climatology ~18–19°C) persisting over the past week due to subsident air masses. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread of 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and minor cloud development that could cap peaks at 26°C or push to 27°C. Updated 00Z/12Z runs expected April 5 may refine this; resolution uses whole-degree readings from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Volume
$12,871Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts point to a 27°C maximum temperature in Madrid on April 6 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating, driving trader sentiment toward 26°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 and above-normal values (April climatology ~18–19°C) persisting over the past week due to subsident air masses. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread of 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and minor cloud development that could cap peaks at 26°C or push to 27°C. Updated 00Z/12Z runs expected April 5 may refine this; resolution uses whole-degree readings from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,871Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET forecasts point to a 27°C maximum temperature in Madrid on April 6 under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar heating, driving trader sentiment toward 26°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) as leading outcomes. Recent observations confirm a warming trend, with highs climbing to 21.4°C on April 3 and above-normal values (April climatology ~18–19°C) persisting over the past week due to subsident air masses. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread of 25–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and minor cloud development that could cap peaks at 26°C or push to 27°C. Updated 00Z/12Z runs expected April 5 may refine this; resolution uses whole-degree readings from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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