Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 24-27°C, driving trader consensus toward 52% implied probability for 24°C or higher, as a high-pressure ridge builds over northern Italy, advecting warm continental air masses. This marks a sharp rebound from the recent low-pressure vortex that delivered record cold, rain, and even snow through Easter on April 5, suppressing early April averages around 18°C. National models from 3B Meteo and Il Meteo align with highs near 24-26°C under sunny skies, though inherent model spread introduces uncertainty—new runs overnight could shift trajectories based on evolving upper-air patterns. Cold outcomes below 14°C carry just 2.5% odds, reflecting the locked-in warming trend. Watch tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 9?
21°C 27%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
18°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
18%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
27%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
15%
21°C 27%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
18°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$125 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$2 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 24-27°C, driving trader consensus toward 52% implied probability for 24°C or higher, as a high-pressure ridge builds over northern Italy, advecting warm continental air masses. This marks a sharp rebound from the recent low-pressure vortex that delivered record cold, rain, and even snow through Easter on April 5, suppressing early April averages around 18°C. National models from 3B Meteo and Il Meteo align with highs near 24-26°C under sunny skies, though inherent model spread introduces uncertainty—new runs overnight could shift trajectories based on evolving upper-air patterns. Cold outcomes below 14°C carry just 2.5% odds, reflecting the locked-in warming trend. Watch tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$127Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 24-27°C, driving trader consensus toward 52% implied probability for 24°C or higher, as a high-pressure ridge builds over northern Italy, advecting warm continental air masses. This marks a sharp rebound from the recent low-pressure vortex that delivered record cold, rain, and even snow through Easter on April 5, suppressing early April averages around 18°C. National models from 3B Meteo and Il Meteo align with highs near 24-26°C under sunny skies, though inherent model spread introduces uncertainty—new runs overnight could shift trajectories based on evolving upper-air patterns. Cold outcomes below 14°C carry just 2.5% odds, reflecting the locked-in warming trend. Watch tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$127Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 24-27°C, driving trader consensus toward 52% implied probability for 24°C or higher, as a high-pressure ridge builds over northern Italy, advecting warm continental air masses. This marks a sharp rebound from the recent low-pressure vortex that delivered record cold, rain, and even snow through Easter on April 5, suppressing early April averages around 18°C. National models from 3B Meteo and Il Meteo align with highs near 24-26°C under sunny skies, though inherent model spread introduces uncertainty—new runs overnight could shift trajectories based on evolving upper-air patterns. Cold outcomes below 14°C carry just 2.5% odds, reflecting the locked-in warming trend. Watch tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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