Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station today, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations show morning temperatures around 10°C rising slowly under dull, cloudy conditions with low solar insolation, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 14–15°C. Recent forecast updates from ARPEGE and GFS runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this, showing minimal variance and little intensification potential. While brief cloud breaks could nudge toward 16°C (10.5% odds), trader consensus reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving near 15°C by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 5 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 5 avril ?
15°C 87%
16°C 10%
20°C ou plus <1%
18°C <1%
$91,500 Vol.
$91,500 Vol.
5 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
87%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou plus
1%
15°C 87%
16°C 10%
20°C ou plus <1%
18°C <1%
$91,500 Vol.
$91,500 Vol.
5 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$2,506 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,621 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$9,762 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,786 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30,355 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,728 Vol.
87%
16°C
$6,033 Vol.
10%
17°C
$6,334 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,240 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,434 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou plus
$5,455 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station today, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations show morning temperatures around 10°C rising slowly under dull, cloudy conditions with low solar insolation, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 14–15°C. Recent forecast updates from ARPEGE and GFS runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this, showing minimal variance and little intensification potential. While brief cloud breaks could nudge toward 16°C (10.5% odds), trader consensus reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving near 15°C by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$91,500Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station today, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations show morning temperatures around 10°C rising slowly under dull, cloudy conditions with low solar insolation, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 14–15°C. Recent forecast updates from ARPEGE and GFS runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this, showing minimal variance and little intensification potential. While brief cloud breaks could nudge toward 16°C (10.5% odds), trader consensus reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving near 15°C by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,500Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Météo-France and ECMWF model consensus points to a maximum temperature of 15°C at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport station today, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Current observations show morning temperatures around 10°C rising slowly under dull, cloudy conditions with low solar insolation, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 14–15°C. Recent forecast updates from ARPEGE and GFS runs over the past 24 hours reinforce this, showing minimal variance and little intensification potential. While brief cloud breaks could nudge toward 16°C (10.5% odds), trader consensus reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving near 15°C by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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