National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 4 around the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with early April climatological normals of 77–80°F while reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across Central Texas. Record-breaking heat through late March 2026, exacerbated by worsening drought conditions, has primed soils for rapid warming, with the recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral reducing cooler influences. A brief cold front over the March 29–30 weekend introduced minor cooling, but dry conditions persist. Watch for daily NWS updates and fresh model runs through April 2, as cloud cover or late fronts could trim peaks by 5–10°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 4?
90°F or higher 41%
71°F or below 41%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
71°F or below
41%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
18%
90°F or higher
41%
90°F or higher 41%
71°F or below 41%
72-73°F 18%
74-75°F 18%
71°F or below
41%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
18%
90°F or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service extended forecasts and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 4 around the upper 70s to low 80s°F, aligning with early April climatological normals of 77–80°F while reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across Central Texas. Record-breaking heat through late March 2026, exacerbated by worsening drought conditions, has primed soils for rapid warming, with the recent transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral reducing cooler influences. A brief cold front over the March 29–30 weekend introduced minor cooling, but dry conditions persist. Watch for daily NWS updates and fresh model runs through April 2, as cloud cover or late fronts could trim peaks by 5–10°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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