Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on March 30?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

86-87°F 38%

88-89°F 25%

84-85°F 17%

90-91°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

86-87°F 38%

88-89°F 25%

84-85°F 17%

90-91°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

75°F or below

$231 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$322 Vol.

1%

78-79°F

$200 Vol.

1%

80-81°F

$155 Vol.

2%

82-83°F

$104 Vol.

10%

84-85°F

$126 Vol.

17%

86-87°F

$258 Vol.

38%

88-89°F

$263 Vol.

28%

90-91°F

$99 Vol.

12%

92-93°F

$103 Vol.

2%

94°F or higher

$489 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 84°F for Austin today under mostly sunny skies after morning low clouds erode, with breezy south winds gusting to 25 mph resuming the spring warmth pattern that has March 2026 on track as the city's warmest on record—averaging 7°F above normal so far. Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 88-89°F at 28.5%, reflecting ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF leaning slightly higher amid variations in peak solar insolation and boundary layer mixing from gusty winds, which could cap or enhance heating. Recent upper-80s highs earlier this week reinforce the ridge-driven anomaly, well above March climatological norms near 73°F; real-time observations at Austin Camp Mabry will clarify as afternoon peaks approach.

National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 84°F for Austin today under mostly sunny skies after morning low clouds erode, with breezy south winds gusting to 25 mph resuming the spring warmth pattern that has March 2026 on track as the city's warmest on record—averaging 7°F above normal so far. Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 88-89°F at 28.5%, reflecting ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF leaning slightly higher amid variations in peak solar insolation and boundary layer mixing from gusty winds, which could cap or enhance heating. Recent upper-80s highs earlier this week reinforce the ridge-driven anomaly, well above March climatological norms near 73°F; real-time observations at Austin Camp Mabry will clarify as afternoon peaks approach.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 84°F for Austin today under mostly sunny skies after morning low clouds erode, with breezy south winds gusting to 25 mph resuming the spring warmth pattern that has March 2026 on track as the city's warmest on record—averaging 7°F above normal so far. Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 88-89°F at 28.5%, reflecting ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF leaning slightly higher amid variations in peak solar insolation and boundary layer mixing from gusty winds, which could cap or enhance heating. Recent upper-80s highs earlier this week reinforce the ridge-driven anomaly, well above March climatological norms near 73°F; real-time observations at Austin Camp Mabry will clarify as afternoon peaks approach.

National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 84°F for Austin today under mostly sunny skies after morning low clouds erode, with breezy south winds gusting to 25 mph resuming the spring warmth pattern that has March 2026 on track as the city's warmest on record—averaging 7°F above normal so far. Trader sentiment clusters around 86-87°F at 38% implied probability, closely trailed by 88-89°F at 28.5%, reflecting ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF leaning slightly higher amid variations in peak solar insolation and boundary layer mixing from gusty winds, which could cap or enhance heating. Recent upper-80s highs earlier this week reinforce the ridge-driven anomaly, well above March climatological norms near 73°F; real-time observations at Austin Camp Mabry will clarify as afternoon peaks approach.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 86-87°F » à 38%, suivi de « 88-89°F » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? » est « 86-87°F » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 88-89°F » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Austin on March 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.