Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
11%
21°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$225 Vol.
5%
18°C
$191 Vol.
3%
19°C
$307 Vol.
3%
20°C
$159 Vol.
8%
21°C
$256 Vol.
26%
22°C
$236 Vol.
21%
23°C
$187 Vol.
13%
24°C
$287 Vol.
14%
25°C
$178 Vol.
10%
26°C
$165 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$473 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$2,664Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,664Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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