Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 28°C in Buenos Aires on April 3, positioning the 29°C or higher outcome at 44% and exactly 28°C at 30% in trader consensus, reflecting real-money bets on above-normal warmth. This aligns with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's March trimestral outlook anticipating above-average autumn temperatures across central Argentina, including the Buenos Aires region, amid a recent late-March warm spell with highs exceeding seasonal norms. Early April climatology typically features highs around 23°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales, but current upper-air patterns favor warm advection; uncertainty persists as models diverge on peak intensity, with new runs expected daily ahead of resolution via official SMN observations at Ezeiza Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 3 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 3 avril ?
29°C ou plus 45%
28°C 30%
27°C 15%
26°C 10%
19°C ou moins
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C ou plus
45%
29°C ou plus 45%
28°C 30%
27°C 15%
26°C 10%
19°C ou moins
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C ou plus
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 28°C in Buenos Aires on April 3, positioning the 29°C or higher outcome at 44% and exactly 28°C at 30% in trader consensus, reflecting real-money bets on above-normal warmth. This aligns with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's March trimestral outlook anticipating above-average autumn temperatures across central Argentina, including the Buenos Aires region, amid a recent late-March warm spell with highs exceeding seasonal norms. Early April climatology typically features highs around 23°C on the Saffir-Simpson precursor scales, but current upper-air patterns favor warm advection; uncertainty persists as models diverge on peak intensity, with new runs expected daily ahead of resolution via official SMN observations at Ezeiza Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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