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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

31°C 31%

28°C 21%

27°C 20%

29°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

31°C 31%

28°C 21%

27°C 20%

29°C 20%

Polymarket
NEW

25°C or below

$71 Vol.

11%

26°C

$80 Vol.

11%

27°C

$113 Vol.

24%

28°C

$179 Vol.

21%

29°C

$128 Vol.

15%

30°C

$101 Vol.

16%

31°C

$139 Vol.

31%

32°C

$171 Vol.

14%

33°C

$88 Vol.

11%

34°C

$102 Vol.

13%

35°C or higher

$318 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 31°C high (33% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on April 1, reflecting persistence of warm anomalies from March's severe heatwave—where the city hit a record 38.6°C earlier this month—amid sunny conditions in recent days (21–24°C on March 26–27). Meteoblue and similar models project peaks near 28°C under medium-confidence scenarios with light winds and partial sun, but upper-air ridging could boost continental warm air advection, pushing toward 30–33°C outcomes (collectively ~68%). Cooler results below 27°C (32.5% total) hinge on strengthened sea breezes from the Río de la Plata or increased cloud cover inhibiting solar heating. Key variables include subtropical high pressure strength and low-level humidity; watch SMN Argentina updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles through March 31 for refinement as resolution improves. Historical April 1 averages hover at 23°C, underscoring the atypical warmth priced in.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 31°C high (33% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on April 1, reflecting persistence of warm anomalies from March's severe heatwave—where the city hit a record 38.6°C earlier this month—amid sunny conditions in recent days (21–24°C on March 26–27). Meteoblue and similar models project peaks near 28°C under medium-confidence scenarios with light winds and partial sun, but upper-air ridging could boost continental warm air advection, pushing toward 30–33°C outcomes (collectively ~68%). Cooler results below 27°C (32.5% total) hinge on strengthened sea breezes from the Río de la Plata or increased cloud cover inhibiting solar heating. Key variables include subtropical high pressure strength and low-level humidity; watch SMN Argentina updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles through March 31 for refinement as resolution improves. Historical April 1 averages hover at 23°C, underscoring the atypical warmth priced in.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 31°C high (33% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on April 1, reflecting persistence of warm anomalies from March's severe heatwave—where the city hit a record 38.6°C earlier this month—amid sunny conditions in recent days (21–24°C on March 26–27). Meteoblue and similar models project peaks near 28°C under medium-confidence scenarios with light winds and partial sun, but upper-air ridging could boost continental warm air advection, pushing toward 30–33°C outcomes (collectively ~68%). Cooler results below 27°C (32.5% total) hinge on strengthened sea breezes from the Río de la Plata or increased cloud cover inhibiting solar heating. Key variables include subtropical high pressure strength and low-level humidity; watch SMN Argentina updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles through March 31 for refinement as resolution improves. Historical April 1 averages hover at 23°C, underscoring the atypical warmth priced in.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 31°C high (33% implied probability) for Buenos Aires on April 1, reflecting persistence of warm anomalies from March's severe heatwave—where the city hit a record 38.6°C earlier this month—amid sunny conditions in recent days (21–24°C on March 26–27). Meteoblue and similar models project peaks near 28°C under medium-confidence scenarios with light winds and partial sun, but upper-air ridging could boost continental warm air advection, pushing toward 30–33°C outcomes (collectively ~68%). Cooler results below 27°C (32.5% total) hinge on strengthened sea breezes from the Río de la Plata or increased cloud cover inhibiting solar heating. Key variables include subtropical high pressure strength and low-level humidity; watch SMN Argentina updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles through March 31 for refinement as resolution improves. Historical April 1 averages hover at 23°C, underscoring the atypical warmth priced in.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31°C » à 31%, suivi de « 27°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 31¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1? » est « 31°C » à 31%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 27°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.