Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models center projected high temperatures around 72-75°F on April 4, reflecting closely matched trader sentiment at 26% for 72-73°F and 25% for 74-75°F amid five-day forecast uncertainty. This positioning follows a cool snap over March 28-29 with highs in the low 60s, a rebound to the low 80s on March 29, and an active pattern bringing showers and potential storms starting late March 31 through Easter weekend, likely introducing cloud cover and precipitation to moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on rainfall timing and coverage—denser clouds favoring 72-73°F, lighter showers or later clearing supporting 74-75°F—against climatological early-April averages near 75°F and NOAA's spring outlook leaning above normal. Daily NWS updates and new model runs will refine probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
67°F or below 15%
76-77°F 13%
67°F or below
15%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 22%
67°F or below 15%
76-77°F 13%
67°F or below
15%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area and ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF models center projected high temperatures around 72-75°F on April 4, reflecting closely matched trader sentiment at 26% for 72-73°F and 25% for 74-75°F amid five-day forecast uncertainty. This positioning follows a cool snap over March 28-29 with highs in the low 60s, a rebound to the low 80s on March 29, and an active pattern bringing showers and potential storms starting late March 31 through Easter weekend, likely introducing cloud cover and precipitation to moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on rainfall timing and coverage—denser clouds favoring 72-73°F, lighter showers or later clearing supporting 74-75°F—against climatological early-April averages near 75°F and NOAA's spring outlook leaning above normal. Daily NWS updates and new model runs will refine probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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