Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ensemble forecasts project a high of 18°C at Munich Airport station on April 9 under lightly cloudy skies with no precipitation, positioning the 16°C or higher outcome at 47% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects this mild scenario. This upward shift follows a cold early April snap—highs near 10°C on April 2—and a developing high-pressure ridge steering warmer southerly airflow into Central Europe, elevating temperatures above the historical April 9 average of about 13°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing potential for 14-15°C if cloud cover thickens or northerly winds prevail; daily forecast updates through April 8 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 9?
16°C or higher 42%
8°C 14%
15°C 14%
13°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
14%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
11%
15°C
14%
16°C or higher
42%
16°C or higher 42%
8°C 14%
15°C 14%
13°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
6°C or below
$298 Vol.
1%
7°C
$638 Vol.
1%
8°C
$352 Vol.
14%
9°C
$530 Vol.
1%
10°C
$380 Vol.
2%
11°C
$7 Vol.
9%
12°C
$9 Vol.
11%
13°C
$7 Vol.
12%
14°C
$7 Vol.
11%
15°C
$7 Vol.
14%
16°C or higher
$113 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ensemble forecasts project a high of 18°C at Munich Airport station on April 9 under lightly cloudy skies with no precipitation, positioning the 16°C or higher outcome at 47% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects this mild scenario. This upward shift follows a cold early April snap—highs near 10°C on April 2—and a developing high-pressure ridge steering warmer southerly airflow into Central Europe, elevating temperatures above the historical April 9 average of about 13°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing potential for 14-15°C if cloud cover thickens or northerly winds prevail; daily forecast updates through April 8 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,331Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 1:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ensemble forecasts project a high of 18°C at Munich Airport station on April 9 under lightly cloudy skies with no precipitation, positioning the 16°C or higher outcome at 47% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects this mild scenario. This upward shift follows a cold early April snap—highs near 10°C on April 2—and a developing high-pressure ridge steering warmer southerly airflow into Central Europe, elevating temperatures above the historical April 9 average of about 13°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing potential for 14-15°C if cloud cover thickens or northerly winds prevail; daily forecast updates through April 8 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,331Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 1:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ensemble forecasts project a high of 18°C at Munich Airport station on April 9 under lightly cloudy skies with no precipitation, positioning the 16°C or higher outcome at 47% market-implied probability as trader consensus reflects this mild scenario. This upward shift follows a cold early April snap—highs near 10°C on April 2—and a developing high-pressure ridge steering warmer southerly airflow into Central Europe, elevating temperatures above the historical April 9 average of about 13°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty, with ECMWF and GFS runs showing potential for 14-15°C if cloud cover thickens or northerly winds prevail; daily forecast updates through April 8 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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