Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
21°C 25%
22°C 22%
23°C 16%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
15%
21°C
25%
22°C
22%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
9%
21°C 25%
22°C 22%
23°C 16%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$613 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$291 Vol.
1%
17°C
$284 Vol.
3%
18°C
$588 Vol.
5%
19°C
$426 Vol.
15%
20°C
$595 Vol.
15%
21°C
$637 Vol.
25%
22°C
$1,232 Vol.
22%
23°C
$593 Vol.
16%
24°C or higher
$528 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,185Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,185Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ICON model runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 at around 20°C under partly cloudy skies with ample sunshine (5 hours expected) and no precipitation, following cooler, showery conditions on April 4. However, global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate slightly warmer outcomes up to 22°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow and stronger insolation if clouds thin midday. Trader consensus clusters tightly at 21–22°C (26% and 23% implied probabilities) due to this model spread and uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects at the official München-Flughafen station. New ensemble updates from DWD and ECMWF on April 3–4 could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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