Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–22°C for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus amid early April climatology in the fog-prone Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover near 20°C with typical ±3°C variability. Differentiating factors include persistent stratus cloud cover—historically ~50% overcast, curbing solar insolation and diurnal warming—and potential weak frontal systems introducing light showers that could suppress peaks to 18–19°C, while clearer skies or urban heat effects might push toward 21–22°C. Trader sentiment weighs this uncertainty against China Meteorological Administration guidance, with daily updates from ECMWF and GFS models expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
21°C 23%
18°C 17%
23°C 17%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
17%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
23%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
12%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
4%
21°C 23%
18°C 17%
23°C 17%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
16°C or below
$228 Vol.
3%
17°C
$29 Vol.
11%
18°C
$19 Vol.
17%
19°C
$19 Vol.
18%
20°C
$31 Vol.
18%
21°C
$35 Vol.
23%
22°C
$100 Vol.
16%
23°C
$23 Vol.
17%
24°C
$19 Vol.
12%
25°C
$29 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$240 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–22°C for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus amid early April climatology in the fog-prone Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover near 20°C with typical ±3°C variability. Differentiating factors include persistent stratus cloud cover—historically ~50% overcast, curbing solar insolation and diurnal warming—and potential weak frontal systems introducing light showers that could suppress peaks to 18–19°C, while clearer skies or urban heat effects might push toward 21–22°C. Trader sentiment weighs this uncertainty against China Meteorological Administration guidance, with daily updates from ECMWF and GFS models expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$774Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–22°C for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus amid early April climatology in the fog-prone Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover near 20°C with typical ±3°C variability. Differentiating factors include persistent stratus cloud cover—historically ~50% overcast, curbing solar insolation and diurnal warming—and potential weak frontal systems introducing light showers that could suppress peaks to 18–19°C, while clearer skies or urban heat effects might push toward 21–22°C. Trader sentiment weighs this uncertainty against China Meteorological Administration guidance, with daily updates from ECMWF and GFS models expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$774Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 18–22°C for Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport's highest temperature on April 6, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus amid early April climatology in the fog-prone Sichuan Basin, where average highs hover near 20°C with typical ±3°C variability. Differentiating factors include persistent stratus cloud cover—historically ~50% overcast, curbing solar insolation and diurnal warming—and potential weak frontal systems introducing light showers that could suppress peaks to 18–19°C, while clearer skies or urban heat effects might push toward 21–22°C. Trader sentiment weighs this uncertainty against China Meteorological Administration guidance, with daily updates from ECMWF and GFS models expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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