Latest ensemble forecasts from global weather models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 5 reaching around 28°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with late showers, explaining the tight trader consensus favoring 26–28°C outcomes at 20–24% implied probabilities each. This reflects a warming trend over the past 48 hours, with highs climbing from 20°C on April 2 to projected 27°C on April 4 amid high-pressure influence reducing typical basin cloudiness. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast could cap maxima at 26°C, while clearer skies boost to 28°C—and diel heating potential; historical early-April averages of 20–22°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. New 12Z model runs expected April 3–4 may refine odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
27°C 24%
26°C 23%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
23%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 24%
26°C 23%
28°C 19%
25°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$770 Vol.
1%
21°C
$962 Vol.
1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
4%
23°C
$146 Vol.
7%
24°C
$81 Vol.
11%
25°C
$74 Vol.
14%
26°C
$151 Vol.
23%
27°C
$109 Vol.
24%
28°C
$119 Vol.
19%
29°C
$209 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$342 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global weather models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 5 reaching around 28°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with late showers, explaining the tight trader consensus favoring 26–28°C outcomes at 20–24% implied probabilities each. This reflects a warming trend over the past 48 hours, with highs climbing from 20°C on April 2 to projected 27°C on April 4 amid high-pressure influence reducing typical basin cloudiness. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast could cap maxima at 26°C, while clearer skies boost to 28°C—and diel heating potential; historical early-April averages of 20–22°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. New 12Z model runs expected April 3–4 may refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$3,082Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global weather models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 5 reaching around 28°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with late showers, explaining the tight trader consensus favoring 26–28°C outcomes at 20–24% implied probabilities each. This reflects a warming trend over the past 48 hours, with highs climbing from 20°C on April 2 to projected 27°C on April 4 amid high-pressure influence reducing typical basin cloudiness. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast could cap maxima at 26°C, while clearer skies boost to 28°C—and diel heating potential; historical early-April averages of 20–22°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. New 12Z model runs expected April 3–4 may refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,082Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global weather models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 5 reaching around 28°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with late showers, explaining the tight trader consensus favoring 26–28°C outcomes at 20–24% implied probabilities each. This reflects a warming trend over the past 48 hours, with highs climbing from 20°C on April 2 to projected 27°C on April 4 amid high-pressure influence reducing typical basin cloudiness. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast could cap maxima at 26°C, while clearer skies boost to 28°C—and diel heating potential; historical early-April averages of 20–22°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. New 12Z model runs expected April 3–4 may refine odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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