Current short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside site-specific projections, indicate a high temperature around 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 6, fueling evenly split market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 25.5%. Recent cooler readings—20°C on April 2 and 21°C forecast for April 3 amid cloudy conditions—have tempered expectations from early April's 23°C peak, while historical early-month averages hover near 20-22°C with 53% cloud cover probability introducing variability. Differentiating factors include potential frontal passages capping highs below 24°C via drizzle or overcast skies, versus high-pressure ridges and sunny intervals (as in some 26°C model runs) pushing toward 27-30°C. Traders await daily China Meteorological Administration bulletins and fresh ensemble runs for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
26°C 25%
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
10%
26°C
25%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
9%
26°C 25%
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
22°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$17 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside site-specific projections, indicate a high temperature around 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 6, fueling evenly split market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 25.5%. Recent cooler readings—20°C on April 2 and 21°C forecast for April 3 amid cloudy conditions—have tempered expectations from early April's 23°C peak, while historical early-month averages hover near 20-22°C with 53% cloud cover probability introducing variability. Differentiating factors include potential frontal passages capping highs below 24°C via drizzle or overcast skies, versus high-pressure ridges and sunny intervals (as in some 26°C model runs) pushing toward 27-30°C. Traders await daily China Meteorological Administration bulletins and fresh ensemble runs for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
Volume
$22Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside site-specific projections, indicate a high temperature around 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 6, fueling evenly split market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 25.5%. Recent cooler readings—20°C on April 2 and 21°C forecast for April 3 amid cloudy conditions—have tempered expectations from early April's 23°C peak, while historical early-month averages hover near 20-22°C with 53% cloud cover probability introducing variability. Differentiating factors include potential frontal passages capping highs below 24°C via drizzle or overcast skies, versus high-pressure ridges and sunny intervals (as in some 26°C model runs) pushing toward 27-30°C. Traders await daily China Meteorological Administration bulletins and fresh ensemble runs for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside site-specific projections, indicate a high temperature around 24-26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 6, fueling evenly split market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 25.5%. Recent cooler readings—20°C on April 2 and 21°C forecast for April 3 amid cloudy conditions—have tempered expectations from early April's 23°C peak, while historical early-month averages hover near 20-22°C with 53% cloud cover probability introducing variability. Differentiating factors include potential frontal passages capping highs below 24°C via drizzle or overcast skies, versus high-pressure ridges and sunny intervals (as in some 26°C model runs) pushing toward 27-30°C. Traders await daily China Meteorological Administration bulletins and fresh ensemble runs for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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