Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with 24°C leading at 27% implied probability amid genuine forecast uncertainty from diverging global models like ECMWF and GFS. Early April climatology favors highs of 23-25°C under typical Mediterranean spring patterns, moderated by sea breezes off the warm eastern Mediterranean and occasional subsiding air from high-pressure ridges, but variability stems from potential shifts in upper-level steering: a persistent warm ridge could push toward 26-30°C (17-20% odds), while a cool trough risks 22°C or below (26-32% combined). No major developments in the past week alter baselines; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model runs for refinements before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
24°C 27%
25°C 20%
30°C or higher 19.4%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
10%
21°C
15%
22°C
16%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
20%
26°C
18%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
19%
24°C 27%
25°C 20%
30°C or higher 19.4%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
$6 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$1 Vol.
18%
27°C
$5 Vol.
15%
28°C
$9 Vol.
7%
29°C
$13 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with 24°C leading at 27% implied probability amid genuine forecast uncertainty from diverging global models like ECMWF and GFS. Early April climatology favors highs of 23-25°C under typical Mediterranean spring patterns, moderated by sea breezes off the warm eastern Mediterranean and occasional subsiding air from high-pressure ridges, but variability stems from potential shifts in upper-level steering: a persistent warm ridge could push toward 26-30°C (17-20% odds), while a cool trough risks 22°C or below (26-32% combined). No major developments in the past week alter baselines; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$35Date de fin
Apr 2, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with 24°C leading at 27% implied probability amid genuine forecast uncertainty from diverging global models like ECMWF and GFS. Early April climatology favors highs of 23-25°C under typical Mediterranean spring patterns, moderated by sea breezes off the warm eastern Mediterranean and occasional subsiding air from high-pressure ridges, but variability stems from potential shifts in upper-level steering: a persistent warm ridge could push toward 26-30°C (17-20% odds), while a cool trough risks 22°C or below (26-32% combined). No major developments in the past week alter baselines; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35Date de fin
Apr 2, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around mid-20s outcomes for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 2, with 24°C leading at 27% implied probability amid genuine forecast uncertainty from diverging global models like ECMWF and GFS. Early April climatology favors highs of 23-25°C under typical Mediterranean spring patterns, moderated by sea breezes off the warm eastern Mediterranean and occasional subsiding air from high-pressure ridges, but variability stems from potential shifts in upper-level steering: a persistent warm ridge could push toward 26-30°C (17-20% odds), while a cool trough risks 22°C or below (26-32% combined). No major developments in the past week alter baselines; watch Israel Meteorological Service updates and daily model runs for refinements before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes