Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on April 1 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-to-upper 20s°C highs under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, following warmer-than-average March trends reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. This edges out 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (17%), reflecting uncertainty from model ensemble spreads, potential sea breeze cooling along the coast, and risks of scattered showers reducing solar heating. Historical early-April highs average 22–24°C per IMS climatology, with key variables including warm air advection persistence and cloud cover. New IMS forecasts and model updates expected daily through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
26°C 38%
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
27°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
13%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
17%
28°C
14%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 38%
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
27°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$53 Vol.
13%
25°C
$41 Vol.
17%
26°C
$94 Vol.
36%
27°C
$67 Vol.
17%
28°C
$6 Vol.
14%
29°C
$12 Vol.
9%
30°C
$19 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$39 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on April 1 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-to-upper 20s°C highs under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, following warmer-than-average March trends reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. This edges out 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (17%), reflecting uncertainty from model ensemble spreads, potential sea breeze cooling along the coast, and risks of scattered showers reducing solar heating. Historical early-April highs average 22–24°C per IMS climatology, with key variables including warm air advection persistence and cloud cover. New IMS forecasts and model updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Volume
$358Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on April 1 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-to-upper 20s°C highs under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, following warmer-than-average March trends reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. This edges out 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (17%), reflecting uncertainty from model ensemble spreads, potential sea breeze cooling along the coast, and risks of scattered showers reducing solar heating. Historical early-April highs average 22–24°C per IMS climatology, with key variables including warm air advection persistence and cloud cover. New IMS forecasts and model updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$358Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 26°C in Tel Aviv on April 1 at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting mid-to-upper 20s°C highs under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, following warmer-than-average March trends reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. This edges out 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (17%), reflecting uncertainty from model ensemble spreads, potential sea breeze cooling along the coast, and risks of scattered showers reducing solar heating. Historical early-April highs average 22–24°C per IMS climatology, with key variables including warm air advection persistence and cloud cover. New IMS forecasts and model updates expected daily through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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