Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Tel Aviv on March 30, with 19°C (35%), 20°C (31.5%), and 18°C (29.5%) leading amid Israel Meteorological Service forecasts projecting highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds enhancing sea-breeze cooling along the coast. Divergences stem from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing slight spreads in solar insolation, cloud timing, and wind shear effects, which could nudge the official NOAA measurement at Ben Gurion Airport station by 1-2°C. Late-March climatology averages 19-22°C highs, but persistent cool northerlies temper warmth seen earlier in the month; watch hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 30 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 30 mars ?
19°C 37%
18°C 30%
20°C 29%
17°C 5.4%
$11,211 Vol.
$11,211 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
30%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 30%
20°C 29%
17°C 5.4%
$11,211 Vol.
$11,211 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
30%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Tel Aviv on March 30, with 19°C (35%), 20°C (31.5%), and 18°C (29.5%) leading amid Israel Meteorological Service forecasts projecting highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds enhancing sea-breeze cooling along the coast. Divergences stem from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showing slight spreads in solar insolation, cloud timing, and wind shear effects, which could nudge the official NOAA measurement at Ben Gurion Airport station by 1-2°C. Late-March climatology averages 19-22°C highs, but persistent cool northerlies temper warmth seen earlier in the month; watch hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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