Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a high near 7°C on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and 30-40% shower chances following heavy rain from a Colorado low on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment toward mid-single digits like 9°C (17.5%) and 8°C (13%). However, the fragmented market-implied odds—with 12°C or higher leading at 32.5%—reflect uncertainty in global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF), where warmer runs show potential for 10-12°C if post-frontal mixing or partial clearing boosts temperatures toward early April climatological normals of 10°C. Key variables include low-pressure track, boundary layer stability, and cloud persistence; watch for 12z model updates and Environment Canada revisions on April 3 for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 36%
9°C 18%
11°C 16%
8°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$10,018 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,018 Vol.
5 avr. 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
9%
8°C
14%
9°C
18%
10°C
14%
11°C
16%
12°C or higher
36%
12°C or higher 36%
9°C 18%
11°C 16%
8°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$10,018 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,018 Vol.
5 avr. 2026
2°C or below
$738 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$790 Vol.
1%
5°C
$888 Vol.
1%
6°C
$1,073 Vol.
4%
7°C
$724 Vol.
9%
8°C
$1,258 Vol.
14%
9°C
$905 Vol.
18%
10°C
$726 Vol.
14%
11°C
$917 Vol.
16%
12°C or higher
$1,287 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a high near 7°C on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and 30-40% shower chances following heavy rain from a Colorado low on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment toward mid-single digits like 9°C (17.5%) and 8°C (13%). However, the fragmented market-implied odds—with 12°C or higher leading at 32.5%—reflect uncertainty in global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF), where warmer runs show potential for 10-12°C if post-frontal mixing or partial clearing boosts temperatures toward early April climatological normals of 10°C. Key variables include low-pressure track, boundary layer stability, and cloud persistence; watch for 12z model updates and Environment Canada revisions on April 3 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$10,018Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a high near 7°C on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and 30-40% shower chances following heavy rain from a Colorado low on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment toward mid-single digits like 9°C (17.5%) and 8°C (13%). However, the fragmented market-implied odds—with 12°C or higher leading at 32.5%—reflect uncertainty in global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF), where warmer runs show potential for 10-12°C if post-frontal mixing or partial clearing boosts temperatures toward early April climatological normals of 10°C. Key variables include low-pressure track, boundary layer stability, and cloud persistence; watch for 12z model updates and Environment Canada revisions on April 3 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,018Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport projects a high near 7°C on April 5 amid persistent cloud cover and 30-40% shower chances following heavy rain from a Colorado low on April 4, anchoring trader sentiment toward mid-single digits like 9°C (17.5%) and 8°C (13%). However, the fragmented market-implied odds—with 12°C or higher leading at 32.5%—reflect uncertainty in global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF), where warmer runs show potential for 10-12°C if post-frontal mixing or partial clearing boosts temperatures toward early April climatological normals of 10°C. Key variables include low-pressure track, boundary layer stability, and cloud persistence; watch for 12z model updates and Environment Canada revisions on April 3 for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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