Latest MetService forecast, issued April 2, projects a Wellington high of 17°C on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with showers likely until evening (60% chance of 1+ mm rain) and southeasterlies developing, potentially capping temperatures after a 19°C on April 4. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (20–25.5% implied probabilities), reflecting ensemble model variability—GFS and ECMWF diverge on shower persistence and afternoon clearing—which could allow brief solar heating to 19°C if clouds thin, versus persistent overcast holding at 17°C. NIWA's near-average autumn outlook amid neutral ENSO adds baseline context, with historical early-April highs averaging 17–18°C at official stations. Watch overnight model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
19°C 29%
18°C 25%
17°C 21%
16°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
21%
18°C
25%
19°C
29%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
11%
19°C 29%
18°C 25%
17°C 21%
16°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
11°C ou moins
$346 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$702 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$195 Vol.
2%
15°C
$175 Vol.
3%
16°C
$315 Vol.
15%
17°C
$214 Vol.
21%
18°C
$247 Vol.
25%
19°C
$334 Vol.
29%
20°C
$219 Vol.
9%
21°C or higher
$429 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecast, issued April 2, projects a Wellington high of 17°C on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with showers likely until evening (60% chance of 1+ mm rain) and southeasterlies developing, potentially capping temperatures after a 19°C on April 4. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (20–25.5% implied probabilities), reflecting ensemble model variability—GFS and ECMWF diverge on shower persistence and afternoon clearing—which could allow brief solar heating to 19°C if clouds thin, versus persistent overcast holding at 17°C. NIWA's near-average autumn outlook amid neutral ENSO adds baseline context, with historical early-April highs averaging 17–18°C at official stations. Watch overnight model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,881Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecast, issued April 2, projects a Wellington high of 17°C on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with showers likely until evening (60% chance of 1+ mm rain) and southeasterlies developing, potentially capping temperatures after a 19°C on April 4. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (20–25.5% implied probabilities), reflecting ensemble model variability—GFS and ECMWF diverge on shower persistence and afternoon clearing—which could allow brief solar heating to 19°C if clouds thin, versus persistent overcast holding at 17°C. NIWA's near-average autumn outlook amid neutral ENSO adds baseline context, with historical early-April highs averaging 17–18°C at official stations. Watch overnight model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,881Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecast, issued April 2, projects a Wellington high of 17°C on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with showers likely until evening (60% chance of 1+ mm rain) and southeasterlies developing, potentially capping temperatures after a 19°C on April 4. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (20–25.5% implied probabilities), reflecting ensemble model variability—GFS and ECMWF diverge on shower persistence and afternoon clearing—which could allow brief solar heating to 19°C if clouds thin, versus persistent overcast holding at 17°C. NIWA's near-average autumn outlook amid neutral ENSO adds baseline context, with historical early-April highs averaging 17–18°C at official stations. Watch overnight model updates for shifts ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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