Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts indicate a high of 9°C for Ankara on April 9 at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—amid a sharp cooling trend driven by recent dual storms delivering precipitation and late-season chill across central Turkey. This follows highs of 16°C earlier in the week, aligning with Ankara's variable continental spring climate where early April averages 14-16°C but cold outbreaks occur. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued temperatures due to northerly flows, though short-range uncertainty persists from evolving upper-air patterns. Traders should watch daily MGM updates and observations, as new data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 9?
8°C 28%
9°C 22%
10°C 22%
7°C 18%
5°C or below
4%
6°C
13%
7°C
18%
8°C
28%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
18%
12°C
17%
13°C
8%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
5%
8°C 28%
9°C 22%
10°C 22%
7°C 18%
5°C or below
4%
6°C
13%
7°C
18%
8°C
28%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
18%
12°C
17%
13°C
8%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts indicate a high of 9°C for Ankara on April 9 at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—amid a sharp cooling trend driven by recent dual storms delivering precipitation and late-season chill across central Turkey. This follows highs of 16°C earlier in the week, aligning with Ankara's variable continental spring climate where early April averages 14-16°C but cold outbreaks occur. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show consensus on subdued temperatures due to northerly flows, though short-range uncertainty persists from evolving upper-air patterns. Traders should watch daily MGM updates and observations, as new data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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