Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around Paris on April 9, with means near 18-20°C amid mild spring conditions, explaining the closely matched probabilities for 17-23°C outcomes. Recent model runs indicate slight warming trends from a potential ridge of high pressure over Western Europe, boosting odds for 23°C or higher to 25.5%, while cooler 17-19°C bins at 25% each account for risks of cloud cover or transient fronts reducing insolation. Historical April 9 highs average 16°C, but current above-normal anomalies favor warmth; inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to jet stream variability. Watch Météo-France updates and next ECMWF deterministic run for shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 9?
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
11%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C or higher
19%
21°C 25%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C or higher 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
14°C
$258 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
11%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$1 Vol.
16%
18°C
$10 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$10 Vol.
20%
23°C or higher
$25 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around Paris on April 9, with means near 18-20°C amid mild spring conditions, explaining the closely matched probabilities for 17-23°C outcomes. Recent model runs indicate slight warming trends from a potential ridge of high pressure over Western Europe, boosting odds for 23°C or higher to 25.5%, while cooler 17-19°C bins at 25% each account for risks of cloud cover or transient fronts reducing insolation. Historical April 9 highs average 16°C, but current above-normal anomalies favor warmth; inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to jet stream variability. Watch Météo-France updates and next ECMWF deterministic run for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$450Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around Paris on April 9, with means near 18-20°C amid mild spring conditions, explaining the closely matched probabilities for 17-23°C outcomes. Recent model runs indicate slight warming trends from a potential ridge of high pressure over Western Europe, boosting odds for 23°C or higher to 25.5%, while cooler 17-19°C bins at 25% each account for risks of cloud cover or transient fronts reducing insolation. Historical April 9 highs average 16°C, but current above-normal anomalies favor warmth; inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to jet stream variability. Watch Météo-France updates and next ECMWF deterministic run for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$450Date de fin
9 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around Paris on April 9, with means near 18-20°C amid mild spring conditions, explaining the closely matched probabilities for 17-23°C outcomes. Recent model runs indicate slight warming trends from a potential ridge of high pressure over Western Europe, boosting odds for 23°C or higher to 25.5%, while cooler 17-19°C bins at 25% each account for risks of cloud cover or transient fronts reducing insolation. Historical April 9 highs average 16°C, but current above-normal anomalies favor warmth; inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to jet stream variability. Watch Météo-France updates and next ECMWF deterministic run for shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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