Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, drive trader consensus toward Munich highs of 14–17°C on April 6, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–14% for these outcomes, reflecting substantial model spread four days out. Recent cold air outbreaks and pre-Easter snow risks in Bavaria have yielded to a transitional high-pressure ridge, promoting partial clearing and mid-teens Celsius peaks, though persistent cloud decks or delayed frontal passages could cap temperatures nearer 12–13°C or boost them toward 20°C with enhanced insolation. Historical early April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring spring variability; watch DWD updates and fresh ensemble runs through April 4 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 25%
15°C 15%
17°C 15%
16°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
25%
15°C
15%
16°C
13%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
11%
14°C 25%
15°C 15%
17°C 15%
16°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
10°C ou moins
$260 Vol.
1%
11°C
$565 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$48 Vol.
25%
15°C
$22 Vol.
15%
16°C
$10 Vol.
13%
17°C
$10 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$5 Vol.
7%
20°C or higher
$10 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, drive trader consensus toward Munich highs of 14–17°C on April 6, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–14% for these outcomes, reflecting substantial model spread four days out. Recent cold air outbreaks and pre-Easter snow risks in Bavaria have yielded to a transitional high-pressure ridge, promoting partial clearing and mid-teens Celsius peaks, though persistent cloud decks or delayed frontal passages could cap temperatures nearer 12–13°C or boost them toward 20°C with enhanced insolation. Historical early April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring spring variability; watch DWD updates and fresh ensemble runs through April 4 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$930Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, drive trader consensus toward Munich highs of 14–17°C on April 6, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–14% for these outcomes, reflecting substantial model spread four days out. Recent cold air outbreaks and pre-Easter snow risks in Bavaria have yielded to a transitional high-pressure ridge, promoting partial clearing and mid-teens Celsius peaks, though persistent cloud decks or delayed frontal passages could cap temperatures nearer 12–13°C or boost them toward 20°C with enhanced insolation. Historical early April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring spring variability; watch DWD updates and fresh ensemble runs through April 4 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$930Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance, drive trader consensus toward Munich highs of 14–17°C on April 6, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 12–14% for these outcomes, reflecting substantial model spread four days out. Recent cold air outbreaks and pre-Easter snow risks in Bavaria have yielded to a transitional high-pressure ridge, promoting partial clearing and mid-teens Celsius peaks, though persistent cloud decks or delayed frontal passages could cap temperatures nearer 12–13°C or boost them toward 20°C with enhanced insolation. Historical early April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring spring variability; watch DWD updates and fresh ensemble runs through April 4 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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