Trader consensus favors 33°C or below at 61% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) recent outlook for below-normal maximums across Uttar Pradesh amid active western disturbances. These upper-air systems have triggered unseasonal rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over the past 48 hours, causing a forecasted 3-5°C drop in highs on April 3-4 with no significant rebound through April 8; observed temperatures recently hovered around 37-38°C but are cooling under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Historical April averages exceed 39°C, yet current atmospheric patterns—marked by cyclonic circulations and moisture influx—override climatological norms. New IMD bulletins expected daily could refine short-term guidance as conditions evolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
33°C or below 64%
34°C 23%
35°C 6%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
64%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 64%
34°C 23%
35°C 6%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
64%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C or below at 61% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) recent outlook for below-normal maximums across Uttar Pradesh amid active western disturbances. These upper-air systems have triggered unseasonal rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over the past 48 hours, causing a forecasted 3-5°C drop in highs on April 3-4 with no significant rebound through April 8; observed temperatures recently hovered around 37-38°C but are cooling under persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Historical April averages exceed 39°C, yet current atmospheric patterns—marked by cyclonic circulations and moisture influx—override climatological norms. New IMD bulletins expected daily could refine short-term guidance as conditions evolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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