Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid an approaching cold front from the west that promises clouds, showers, and reduced diurnal heating. The Euro model's early-morning frontal arrival supports cooler outcomes near 68-69°F by limiting daytime warming, while the GFS's later midday timing bolsters odds for 70-71°F or slightly higher before reinforcement. Precipitation probabilities near 50% and a flash flood watch through Sunday morning further cap peaks, overriding the area's recent warm pattern of 80s°F highs. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24-48 hours could sharpen this spread, as small shifts in steering patterns tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
76°F or higher 20%
72-73°F 17%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
16%
76°F or higher
20%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
76°F or higher 20%
72-73°F 17%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
16%
76°F or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid an approaching cold front from the west that promises clouds, showers, and reduced diurnal heating. The Euro model's early-morning frontal arrival supports cooler outcomes near 68-69°F by limiting daytime warming, while the GFS's later midday timing bolsters odds for 70-71°F or slightly higher before reinforcement. Precipitation probabilities near 50% and a flash flood watch through Sunday morning further cap peaks, overriding the area's recent warm pattern of 80s°F highs. New model runs and NWS updates expected within 24-48 hours could sharpen this spread, as small shifts in steering patterns tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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