Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF, project Seattle's high temperature on April 5 around 62°F, aligning trader sentiment with the 62-63°F outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F at 23.5%. This positioning reflects NOAA Climate Prediction Center's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across western Washington—40-50% chance for April—with a developing high-pressure ridge suppressing marine layer clouds and enabling daytime heating beyond early April climatological normals of 57-58°F. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours show consistent mild conditions post-wet March, though uncertainty persists from potential jet stream shifts or lingering stratus; watch NWS updates Friday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 5?
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 19%
58-59°F 8%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 36%
60-61°F 24%
64-65°F 19%
58-59°F 8%
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF, project Seattle's high temperature on April 5 around 62°F, aligning trader sentiment with the 62-63°F outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F at 23.5%. This positioning reflects NOAA Climate Prediction Center's spring outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across western Washington—40-50% chance for April—with a developing high-pressure ridge suppressing marine layer clouds and enabling daytime heating beyond early April climatological normals of 57-58°F. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours show consistent mild conditions post-wet March, though uncertainty persists from potential jet stream shifts or lingering stratus; watch NWS updates Friday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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