Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent Climatempo forecasts indicating a 26°C peak amid persistent cloudiness and 4.3 mm of showers following a frontal passage that cooled highs from 32°C on March 29 to 25°C on March 31. This aligns with INMET's autumn outlook for above-average Southeast Brazil temperatures but tempered by current moist southerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF via CPTEC) reflect uncertainty in cloud dissipation and convective activity, with historical April maxima averaging 25°C; lower outcomes like 21–22°C gain traction if prolonged overcast prevails, while new INMET updates tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 21%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
20°C or below
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
12%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
5%
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 21%
25°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
20°C or below
$34 Vol.
5%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$28 Vol.
10%
23°C
$19 Vol.
8%
24°C
$14 Vol.
8%
25°C
$14 Vol.
12%
26°C
$22 Vol.
34%
27°C
$27 Vol.
33%
28°C
$104 Vol.
21%
29°C
$372 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$224 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent Climatempo forecasts indicating a 26°C peak amid persistent cloudiness and 4.3 mm of showers following a frontal passage that cooled highs from 32°C on March 29 to 25°C on March 31. This aligns with INMET's autumn outlook for above-average Southeast Brazil temperatures but tempered by current moist southerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF via CPTEC) reflect uncertainty in cloud dissipation and convective activity, with historical April maxima averaging 25°C; lower outcomes like 21–22°C gain traction if prolonged overcast prevails, while new INMET updates tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Volume
$875Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent Climatempo forecasts indicating a 26°C peak amid persistent cloudiness and 4.3 mm of showers following a frontal passage that cooled highs from 32°C on March 29 to 25°C on March 31. This aligns with INMET's autumn outlook for above-average Southeast Brazil temperatures but tempered by current moist southerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF via CPTEC) reflect uncertainty in cloud dissipation and convective activity, with historical April maxima averaging 25°C; lower outcomes like 21–22°C gain traction if prolonged overcast prevails, while new INMET updates tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$875Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 1, driven by recent Climatempo forecasts indicating a 26°C peak amid persistent cloudiness and 4.3 mm of showers following a frontal passage that cooled highs from 32°C on March 29 to 25°C on March 31. This aligns with INMET's autumn outlook for above-average Southeast Brazil temperatures but tempered by current moist southerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads (GFS, ECMWF via CPTEC) reflect uncertainty in cloud dissipation and convective activity, with historical April maxima averaging 25°C; lower outcomes like 21–22°C gain traction if prolonged overcast prevails, while new INMET updates tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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