Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-to-upper 60s highs for Denver on April 5, with 68-69°F leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of around 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and shower chances, a cooldown from March's record-shattering 87°F heatwave. This clustering stems from ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, where timing of an incoming Pacific moisture plume and upper-level trough could cap peaks via cloud cover or boost them through partial clearing and downslope winds off the Rockies. Normal highs sit at 60°F per NWS climatology, but NOAA's above-normal April outlook tempers downside risk; new 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings will refine differentiation among these tight outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
12%
76°F or higher
7%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
57°F or below
$117 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
9%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$8 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$90 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$2 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
12%
76°F or higher
$18 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-to-upper 60s highs for Denver on April 5, with 68-69°F leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of around 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and shower chances, a cooldown from March's record-shattering 87°F heatwave. This clustering stems from ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, where timing of an incoming Pacific moisture plume and upper-level trough could cap peaks via cloud cover or boost them through partial clearing and downslope winds off the Rockies. Normal highs sit at 60°F per NWS climatology, but NOAA's above-normal April outlook tempers downside risk; new 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings will refine differentiation among these tight outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volume
$260Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-to-upper 60s highs for Denver on April 5, with 68-69°F leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of around 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and shower chances, a cooldown from March's record-shattering 87°F heatwave. This clustering stems from ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, where timing of an incoming Pacific moisture plume and upper-level trough could cap peaks via cloud cover or boost them through partial clearing and downslope winds off the Rockies. Normal highs sit at 60°F per NWS climatology, but NOAA's above-normal April outlook tempers downside risk; new 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings will refine differentiation among these tight outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$260Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors mid-to-upper 60s highs for Denver on April 5, with 68-69°F leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of around 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and shower chances, a cooldown from March's record-shattering 87°F heatwave. This clustering stems from ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, where timing of an incoming Pacific moisture plume and upper-level trough could cap peaks via cloud cover or boost them through partial clearing and downslope winds off the Rockies. Normal highs sit at 60°F per NWS climatology, but NOAA's above-normal April outlook tempers downside risk; new 12Z model updates and afternoon soundings will refine differentiation among these tight outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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