The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast projects a Seoul high of 15°C on April 6 amid a 60% precipitation probability and cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus with 13°C at 25% implied odds and tight clustering around 11–16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to variable cloud cover and morning rain potential suppressing peaks to 11–13°C in overcast scenarios, versus 15–16°C under partial clearing, consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs. Incheon International Airport observations, key for resolution, align near 13°C in aviation forecasts. Uncertainty persists four days out; watch KMA short-range updates tomorrow for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and frontal timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
13°C 25%
12°C 21%
15°C 20%
14°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
9%
10°C
7%
11°C
16%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
18%
15°C
20%
16°C
17%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 25%
12°C 21%
15°C 20%
14°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$480 Vol.
1%
8°C
$451 Vol.
1%
9°C
$214 Vol.
9%
10°C
$213 Vol.
7%
11°C
$225 Vol.
16%
12°C
$225 Vol.
21%
13°C
$197 Vol.
25%
14°C
$212 Vol.
18%
15°C
$184 Vol.
20%
16°C
$250 Vol.
17%
17°C or higher
$327 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast projects a Seoul high of 15°C on April 6 amid a 60% precipitation probability and cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus with 13°C at 25% implied odds and tight clustering around 11–16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to variable cloud cover and morning rain potential suppressing peaks to 11–13°C in overcast scenarios, versus 15–16°C under partial clearing, consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs. Incheon International Airport observations, key for resolution, align near 13°C in aviation forecasts. Uncertainty persists four days out; watch KMA short-range updates tomorrow for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,978Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast projects a Seoul high of 15°C on April 6 amid a 60% precipitation probability and cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus with 13°C at 25% implied odds and tight clustering around 11–16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to variable cloud cover and morning rain potential suppressing peaks to 11–13°C in overcast scenarios, versus 15–16°C under partial clearing, consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs. Incheon International Airport observations, key for resolution, align near 13°C in aviation forecasts. Uncertainty persists four days out; watch KMA short-range updates tomorrow for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and frontal timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,978Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast projects a Seoul high of 15°C on April 6 amid a 60% precipitation probability and cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus with 13°C at 25% implied odds and tight clustering around 11–16°C. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to variable cloud cover and morning rain potential suppressing peaks to 11–13°C in overcast scenarios, versus 15–16°C under partial clearing, consistent with early April climatology averaging 15°C highs. Incheon International Airport observations, key for resolution, align near 13°C in aviation forecasts. Uncertainty persists four days out; watch KMA short-range updates tomorrow for refined guidance on boundary layer mixing and frontal timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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