Acting President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, gaining from her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation amid anticorruption protests and government collapse. Her visibility as the first female president and ties to the socialist base position her for a strong first-round showing in the two-round system requiring over 50% or a runoff. Nikolai Denkov trails at 23% on backing from the anti-corruption We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, while GERB figures Rosen Zhelyazkov (11.5%) and Boyko Borissov (9.8%) reflect the center-right's fragmented support post-Zhelyazkov's December resignation. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections under caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov—emphasizing vote-buying crackdowns—could reshape alliances and momentum ahead of the presidential vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉlection présidentielle bulgare
Élection présidentielle bulgare
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 23%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%
Boyko Borissov 9.8%
$60,003 Vol.
$60,003 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
23%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
11%

Boyko Borissov
10%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Blagomir Kotsev
6%

Rosen Plevneliev
5%

Atanas Atanasov
3%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 23%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%
Boyko Borissov 9.8%
$60,003 Vol.
$60,003 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
23%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
11%

Boyko Borissov
10%

Yanaki Stoilov
6%

Blagomir Kotsev
6%

Rosen Plevneliev
5%

Atanas Atanasov
3%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Delyan Peevski
2%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Acting President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability to win Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, gaining from her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation amid anticorruption protests and government collapse. Her visibility as the first female president and ties to the socialist base position her for a strong first-round showing in the two-round system requiring over 50% or a runoff. Nikolai Denkov trails at 23% on backing from the anti-corruption We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, while GERB figures Rosen Zhelyazkov (11.5%) and Boyko Borissov (9.8%) reflect the center-right's fragmented support post-Zhelyazkov's December resignation. The April 19 snap parliamentary elections under caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov—emphasizing vote-buying crackdowns—could reshape alliances and momentum ahead of the presidential vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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