**Chun Jae-soo's dominant position in recent Busan mayoral polls, leading incumbent Park Heong-joon by double-digit margins in head-to-head matchups, underpins his 70% implied probability among traders for the June 3 local election.** The Democratic Party lawmaker, recently endorsed despite probes into Unification Church ties and fresh allegations of covering up his child's school violence incident, maintains strong voter support amid People Power Party setbacks from national scandals and poll shocks revealed three days ago. Park trails at 20.5% as conservatives grapple with candidate selection disputes, including a rejected court injunction. With primaries wrapping up and two months until voting, trader consensus reflects polling trends in this historic battleground, where Democrats last won in 2018, though scandals could still shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026
Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Busan en 2026
Chun Jae-soo 76%
Park Heong-joon 21%
Suh Byung-soo 1.2%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
$348,199 Vol.
$348,199 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
70%

Park Heong-joon
21%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 76%
Park Heong-joon 21%
Suh Byung-soo 1.2%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
$348,199 Vol.
$348,199 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
70%

Park Heong-joon
21%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Chun Jae-soo's dominant position in recent Busan mayoral polls, leading incumbent Park Heong-joon by double-digit margins in head-to-head matchups, underpins his 70% implied probability among traders for the June 3 local election.** The Democratic Party lawmaker, recently endorsed despite probes into Unification Church ties and fresh allegations of covering up his child's school violence incident, maintains strong voter support amid People Power Party setbacks from national scandals and poll shocks revealed three days ago. Park trails at 20.5% as conservatives grapple with candidate selection disputes, including a rejected court injunction. With primaries wrapping up and two months until voting, trader consensus reflects polling trends in this historic battleground, where Democrats last won in 2018, though scandals could still shift dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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