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Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?

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Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$973,016 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$973,016 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without
Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed.

Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals.

An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$973,016
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed. Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without
Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed.

Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals.

An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$973,016
End Date
Jul 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 4, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed. Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?" has generated $973K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.