Market icon

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))

Market icon

Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))

$1,705,797 Vol.

Apr 4, 2025
Polymarket

$1,705,797 Vol.

Polymarket

March 29

$3,264 Vol.

No

March 30

$30,824 Vol.

No

March 31

$19,014 Vol.

Yes

April 1

$24,803 Vol.

No

April 2

$17,648 Vol.

Yes

April 3

$17,504 Vol.

No

April 4

$1,592,740 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”

In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Volume
$1,705,797
End Date
Apr 4, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No” In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 31" at 100%, followed by "April 2" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))" is "March 31" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 2" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.